Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001004 0.001137 0.001278 0.001436 0.001610 0.001794 0.002004
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000752 0.000932 0.001134 0.001377 0.001660 0.001975 0.002353
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000622 0.000820 0.001054 0.001345 0.001696 0.002103 0.002604
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000536 0.000747 0.001005 0.001340 0.001756 0.002251 0.002878
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000471 0.000690 0.000968 0.001339 0.001814 0.002391 0.003139
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000412 0.000633 0.000924 0.001324 0.001848 0.002500 0.003360
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000359 0.000580 0.000878 0.001300 0.001866 0.002585 0.003551
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000332 0.000558 0.000872 0.001327 0.001950 0.002754 0.003849
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000306 0.000535 0.000863 0.001348 0.002024 0.002911 0.004134
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000272 0.000496 0.000827 0.001327 0.002039 0.002987 0.004315
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000240 0.000458 0.000789 0.001301 0.002044 0.003050 0.004476
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000222 0.000440 0.000779 0.001315 0.002105 0.003187 0.004739
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000205 0.000423 0.000771 0.001331 0.002170 0.003334 0.005022
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000180 0.000388 0.000732 0.001298 0.002161 0.003378 0.005163
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000156 0.000355 0.000692 0.001261 0.002145 0.003409 0.005285
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000142 0.000336 0.000675 0.001258 0.002178 0.003509 0.005506
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000129 0.000319 0.000659 0.001257 0.002213 0.003613 0.005733
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000116 0.000299 0.000637 0.001242 0.002227 0.003685 0.005916
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000103 0.000278 0.000611 0.001219 0.002225 0.003735 0.006065
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000097 0.000273 0.000613 0.001245 0.002302 0.003900 0.006386
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000266 0.000612 0.001265 0.002369 0.004054 0.006691
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000081 0.000248 0.000589 0.001245 0.002370 0.004106 0.006848
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000231 0.000565 0.001220 0.002362 0.004144 0.006982